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    Problem 1: Basic Freeway 
    Sections
    
     Printable Version Basic freeway 
    sections are among the most elementary of all highway facilities. They are 
    single-directional links that tie one freeway juncture to the next. The 
    freeway junctures can be weaving sections, ramp junctions, or merge or 
    diverge points. Basic freeway sections are quickly identifiable because 
    there is no distinctive pattern to the lane changing, and no evidence exists of 
    distinctive subordinate traffic streams, as there would be at a weave, a 
    ramp, or a merge or diverge.  In this case study, two basic freeway sections exist on Route 7 between I-87 
    and I-787, both eastbound and westbound as shown in 
    Exhibit 4-3. The basic 
    freeway sections are approximately three miles in length and each direction 
    has characteristics that are unique. 
    The eastbound AADT is about 29,700 and the peak hour 
    volumes range up to about 3,250 in the AM peak and 2,400 
    in the PM peak.
    
     
    The westbound section has an AADT of about 30,000 vehicles and peak hour volumes 
    of approximately 2,400 veh/hr in the AM peak and 3,500 
    in the PM Peak.  In this problem, 
    we'll use both of these directions to provide illustrations of a basic 
    freeway analyses. The eastbound direction 
    is fairly basic and will allow us to get familiar 
    with the input variables and the outputs, and to see how changes in some of 
    those variables influence the results. The 
    westbound direction has some distinct characteristics 
    that will allow us to look at issues related to the number of lanes 
    available, the designation of truck climbing lanes, and grades. 
     Here are some points to consider as you read through problem 1:
    
       What time periods do you think should be selected for 
    doing an analysis of a basic freeway section? 
      
      What are the two or three most important characteristics of this subarea 
    that will likely define the operational performance of these basic freeway 
    sections? Do the defining characteristics differ by direction? How is the 
    configuration of each basic freeway section likely to affect downstream 
    system elements like merge points, diverge points, and weaving areas?  
    Discussion:
  Take 
    a few minutes to consider these questions. When you are ready to 
    continue, click continue below to proceed.  [ 
    Back ] [ Continue ] with 
    Problem 1 |  
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    | 
    Sub-problem 1a: Traffic Flow Patterns Step 1. Setup 
    It is important to carefully determine what volume, 
    peak hour factor, and 
    speed values should be used in a basic freeway analysis. Ideally, a 
    combination of values that “typify” the conditions that exist during the 
    peak hour would be used. However, it’s often hard to determine what data 
    represent “typical” conditions. Often, not enough data is available to 
    determine what a typical condition is. That’s not a problem here because 
    plenty of information is available. In Sub-problem 1a we will look at the 
    traffic data that was collected over a year-long period. Discussion:
  The 
    data collection in this case study represents atypical conditions, where 
    traffic data along the study roadway has been monitored for years. If this 
    were not the case, how many volume studies would need 
    to be completed to ensure typical roadway conditions were sampled with some 
    degree of confidence? What other ways might be 
    available to account for the variability between data samples and typical 
    roadway conditions? Also, observe the variation in recorded traffic volumes 
    during similar time periods and consider the impact of this variation on 
    roadway performance. [
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    Sub-Problem 1a |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1a: 
    Traffic Flow Patterns 
    Flow PatternsJust east of the bridge for Miller Road is a monitoring point used by the 
    Capital District’s Traffic Management Center, run by NYSDOT Region 1 and the 
    New York State Police. There is a double-loop, 20-foot speed trap in each 
    lane, eastbound and westbound. The inputs from these traps are monitored 
    24-hours a day, 7-days a week.  Because the data is archived, we were able to 
    obtain a copy of the 15-minute data collected at this location for 27 
    months, from 00:00 on April 25, 2000 to midnight on October 31, 2002.
 
    For purposes of the case study, we studied these data for the 2001 calendar 
    year (Data points for 8,611 of the 
    8,760 hours in 2001 are shown in Exhibit 4-5, as the traps were out of service during the 
    few remaining hours where no data is available.) and discovered some 
    important things about the flow conditions. The first thing we learned 
    relates to the flows themselves. As can be seen in Exhibit 4-5, the flow rate 
    for a given hour varies widely. There 
    is a diurnal trend that can be identified. The diurnal pattern has 
    its minimum at 2-3:00 AM. The AM peak lasts from 
    about 5-9:00 AM, and it looks like the flow in the eastbound direction is heavier in the AM 
    peak than it is in the PM peak by almost 20%.  The largest recorded volume in the AM peak 
    in 2001 was approximately
    3,480 veh/hr, recorded on day 311 between 7-8:00 AM. |  
    | [
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    Sub-Problem 1a |  
    
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      |  |  
      | Exhibit 4-5. 
      Eastbound Traffic Volumes 
     |      
    
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    Sub-problem 1a: Traffic Flow Patterns 
    
    The westbound direction shows a similar daily trend as can be shown in 
    Exhibit 4-6. There is the same diurnal pattern with a smaller AM peak and a 
    larger PM peak. The PM peak appears to begin at about 3-4:00 PM and persist 
    until 5-6:00 PM. (The largest recorded westbound hourly volume in 2001 was 
    3,830 veh/hr on the 324th day of the year between 4-5:00 PM.) [
    Back ] [ Continue ] with 
    Sub-Problem 1a |  
    
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      |  |  
      | Exhibit 4-6. 
      Westbound Hourly Traffic Volumes 
     |      
    
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    Sub-problem 1a: Traffic Flow Patterns 
    
    Peak Hour FactorThere are always other questions about the performance of such facilities 
    such as the relationship between hourly volumes and the
    peak hour factor, 
    speed-flow relationships and flow-density relationships.
 
    Exhibit 4-7 shows the relationship between the hourly volumes and the peak hour 
    factors. The data for the entire year are again plotted. The westbound 
    direction is shown, and the eastbound plot is nearly identical. The average 
    value for the peak hour factor tends to increase as the volume increases. 
    There’s more variation in its value at low flows than at high flows. It ranges as low as 0.25 (that means 
    there was flow in only the peak 15-minute time period) and it spans up to 
    1.0 for almost all volumes. 
     The data points associated with a PHF of 
    0.25 are likely to be outlier points, since this is an unlikely condition to 
    occur on a freeway with the nature of location of Alternative Route 7; more 
    likely, these data points reflect time periods when the automatic traffic 
    counters were not working properly, or the westbound lanes were closed 
    because of an incident, or some similar situation. So too with the few data 
    points that seem to suggest a PHF slightly greater than 1.0 since, by 
    definition, such a condition is not possible. Nevertheless, with such a 
    preponderance of data, the overall character of the relationship that exists 
    between PHF and hourly volume is clear. |  
    | [
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    Sub-Problem 1a |  
    
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      | Exhibit 4-7. 
      Relationship between Hourly Volume and Peak Hour Factor 
               |      
    
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    Sub-problem 1a: Traffic Flow Patterns 
    
    Speed-FlowExhibit 4-8 shows one of the lane-specific speed-flow relationships. It 
    happens to be for Lane 1 Eastbound in the AM peak 
    time period, but it is similar to all the other peak hour plots (i.e., for 
    the other eastbound lane in the AM peak and for the westbound lanes in the 
    PM peak). The mean speed stays 
    at or near its maximum value (55 mph) from free flow conditions to capacity. 
    Moreover, at the high flow rates there are conditions where the speeds are 
    substantially lower as congestion impedes performance.
 [
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    Sub-Problem 1a |  
    
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    | 
    Sub-problem 1a:  Traffic Flow Patterns 
    Flow-OccupancyExhibit 4-9 shows the corresponding flow-occupancy relationship for the same 
    lane and peak hour. The classical triangular shape depicted in textbooks is 
    evident, with a positive, linear relationship from (0,0) up to a maximum of 
    (15, 2264) between occupancy and flow for the uncongested conditions and 
    then a downward sloping trend toward (100,0) for congested conditions during 
    queue clearance.
 
    All of these exhibits tell us we have a basic freeway section with typical 
    variations in the flows and the flow conditions. Moreover, from
    Exhibits 4-5 
    and 4-6, it is apparent that the volume to select for the peak period analysis 
    is not that obvious. The volumes during the peak hour tend to vary a great 
    deal. In the AM peak hour (7-8:00 AM), for example, the volume ranges from 
    about 200 veh/hr up to nearly 3,500 veh/hr. The average is about 2,000 veh/hr. 
    None of these values seem to be correct for the analysis. The westbound 
    volume during the PM peak hour (4-5:00 PM) range from about 750 veh/hr to 3,800 veh/hr, averaging about 2,000 veh/hr. Again, 
    none of these values seem to be the best choice for a PM peak hour analysis. 
    We can gain further insight into the issues associated with that choice by 
    examining the flow rates associated with the four 15-minute time periods 
    that occur during the AM and PM peak hours on weekdays during the year. [
    Back ] [ Continue ] with 
    Sub-Problem 1a |  
    
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      |  |  
      | Exhibit 4-9. 
      Flow-Occupancy Relationship, Eastbound First Lane 
               |      
    
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    | 
    Sub-problem 1a: Traffic Flow 
    Patterns 
    Trends in the Traffic 
    VolumesExhibit 4-10 shows the distribution of weekday, 7-8:00 AM peak hour volumes for the 
    eastbound direction. On the one hand, it is apparent that the volumes can be 
    quite low. On the other, the values range up to 3,483 veh/hr. The mean value 
    is 2,916 veh/hr and the 50th-percentile is 3,096 veh/hr. The 90th 
    percentile 
    is 3,340 veh/hr and the 95th-percentile is 3,385. The question is, which 
    value is the right one to select, one of these or some other?
 Most 
    traffic engineers would think about the mean value when they talk about a 
    typical peak hour. But if you look at Exhibit 4-10, that seems like a pretty 
    low value to use in assessing the facility’s performance. For illustrative 
    purposes, in the next sub-problem we’re going to use the 90th-percentile 
    volumes instead of the average volumes. This means that the 
    analysis results will represent conditions that will occur 90% of the year 
    during the AM peak hour. (We’ll come back and look at the facility’s performance during the 
    average peak hour conditions right after that.) [
    Back ] [
    Continue ] to 
    Sub-Problem 1b |  
    
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      |  |  
      | Exhibit 4-10. Distribution of 15-minute Flow Rates during the AM Peak 
          Hour, Eastbound 
               |      
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section Step 1. Setup In this sub-problem we will analyze a freeway section. The 
    steps that we will use are outlined in Exhibit 4-11 below. Discussion:
  Take 
    a few minutes to consider the figure above.  Click continue when you 
    are ready to proceed. [ 
    Back ] [ 
    Continue ] with 
    Sub-problem 1b  |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    
    The eastbound 
    section has two lanes and is 
    divided into three segments: 
     
      |  | a
    one-mile segment with a 1-2% upgrade to the vicinity of Miller Road |  |  | a 
    one-mile segment with a 1-2% downgrade, and |  |  | a final one-mile segment 
    with a 5-7% downgrade ending at the I-787 interchange. |  
    The first task is to 
    specify the conditions. One important question is: where should we do the 
    analysis? Should we use the 5-7% downgrade, the 1-2% upgrade, or the 1-2% 
    downgrade? The HCM says: use the section that will produce the most 
    conservative estimate of the LOS. That is, worst case governs.  
    So we’ll use the 1-2% 
    upgrade section. In addition, because it is a mile long or more, we’ll assume 
    it’s a constant grade, not a  rolling or  mountainous section. (As an 
    aside, those categories don’t really have to do with where the 
    facility is. They relate a lot more to the vertical profile of the segment. 
    For example, a freeway running along a mountaintop is  level even though 
    it’s in a mountainous region.) [ 
    Back ] [ Continue ] with 
    Sub-problem 1b |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    The basic freeway analysis methodology is shown in
    Exhibit 4-11. The inputs 
    required include 
    geometric data, a
    free-flow speed (FFS) (or a free flow speed derived from a 
    basic free-flow speed) and volume information. The left-hand branch 
    addresses actions you have to take to obtain the free-flow speed while the 
    right hand branch focuses on the computation of a peak 15-minute flow rate. 
    We’ll consider the left-hand branch first.  
    Free-flow speed (FFS) 
    can be measured in the field or estimated using the procedure outlined in 
    Chapter 23. We’ll consider 
    both.  
    The benefit of having speed-flow 
    data as shown in
    Exhibit 4-8 in this case study is that we can select a FFS and no adjustments 
    are necessary. If you look at that 
    figure, you can see that a
    value in the range of 55 mph is a good 
    choice. This range reflects the  average maximum speed when the flow rate 
    relatively low. We’ll assume that 55 mph is the right value. 
    However, it’s useful to see what FFS estimate we would get if we trace 
    through the branch labeled "if BFFS is input." We then take a basic 
    free-flow speed (BFFS) and make adjustments to it to account for lane width, 
    the number of lanes, the interchange density, and lateral clearances.
    Nominally, the basic free flow speed (BFFS) 
    is how fast vehicles are traveling when the volumes are very light. The HCM 
    assumes the BFFS is BFFS is 70 mph in urban settings and 75 mph in rural 
    settings.
    Exhibit 4-8 shows that both of these values are too high for this 
    facility. The maximum speed when the flow is almost zero is about 60 mph. 
    The HCM allows us to use a local value rather than the defaults. We’re going 
    to do that and assume the BFFS is 60 mph. [
    Back ] [ Continue ] with 
    Sub-problem 1b |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    
    Using 
    the method to calculate FFS based on BFFS as shown in Chapter 23, our FFS is projected to be 
    55.5 mph, which is very close to what the data shows us in
    Exhibit 4-8. 
    
    Now we need to revisit
    Exhibit 4-11 and see that the next thing to do is to 
    calculate the peak 15-minute flow rate. 
     [
    Back ] [ Continue ] 
    with 
    Sub-problem 1b |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    Since we don’t have any formal data for the percentage of trucks/buses or 
    recreational vehicles in the traffic stream (during the peak hour), we’ll 
    use anecdotal observations and say that the percentage of trucks/buses is 
    about 5% (which means PT is 0.05). We will assume there 
    is no significant volume of recreational vehicles in the traffic stream. 
    Referring to Equation 23-2 in 
    the HCM, we have V = 3,340 veh/hr, PHF = 0.90, N = 
    2, PT = 0.05, PR = 0, ET 
    = 1.5, ER = 1.2, and fp = 1.0. This gives 
    us an average 15-minute passenger-car equivalent flow rate, vp of 1,902 passenger cars per hour per 
    lane. 
    There’s one more thing to do before we assess the level of service (LOS) for 
    the facility, and that’s to compute the average passenger car speed 
    as shown on HCM page 23-5, using a set of equations based on Exhibit 4-12. 
    The equations break the speed-flow relationship shown in Exhibit 4-12 into a 
    set of regions delineated as follows: 
      
      
        
          | 
      If (55 ≤ FFS 
      ≤ 75 mph) and ( vp ≤ 3,400 – 30* FFS ), then |  
          | 
    
          (4) | 
    
           S = FFS |  
          | 
      If (55 ≤ FFS 
      ≤ 70 mph) and (3,400 – 30* FFS < vp ≤ 1,700 + 10*FFS), then |  
          | 
    (5) | 
     |  
          | 
      And if (70 < 
          FFS ≤ 75 mph) and (3,400 – 30*FFS) < vp ≤ 
          2,400, then |  
          | 
    
          (6) | 
     |  [
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    ] with Sub-problem 1b |  
    
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      |  |  
      | Exhibit 4-12. 
      Developing the Average Passenger Car Speed 
      (source: HCM Exhibit 23-3) 
            
         |      
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    The result for our 
    situation is S = 54.8 mph. If you take this value and divide it into 
    the peak 15-minute flow rate, vp, then you get the freeway 
    segment’s peak 15-minute average density (passenger cars per mile per lane), 
    which is the basis for assessing the LOS (see
    Dataset 1): 
              D 
    = vp / S = 1,902 pcphpl / 54.8 mph = 34.7 pcpmpl 
    Where pcphpl means 
    passenger cars per hour per lane, mph is miles per hour, and pcpmpl is 
    passenger cars per mile per lane. The breakpoints in D for level of 
    service are as follows, all in passenger cars per mile per lane: A: 0-11; B: 
    11-18, C: 18-26, D: 26-35, and E: 35-45. Above 45 is LOS F. 
    For the circumstances 
    we’ve examined, where D = 34.7, the LOS is a high D, almost E. Since 
    we picked the 90th percentile value to evaluate, this means that 
    10% of the time the eastbound LOS in the peak hour is D or worse, and 90% of 
    the time it is better than that. 
    Three 
    other significant conditions have the following levels of service: 
      |  | 
      For the average AM 
      peak hour, where the volume is 2,916 veh/hr, D is 30.2 pcpmpl and 
      the LOS is D (See
      Dataset 2). |  |  | 
      For the high hour 
      recorded during the short count upon which the AADT is based, the volume 
      was 3,257 veh/hr, D is 33.8 pcpmpl and the LOS is D (see
      Dataset 3). |  |  | 
      For the heaviest 
      hour observed in 2001, where the volume was 3,483 veh/hr, D is 36.5 
      pcpmpl and the LOS is E (see
      Dataset 4). |  
    If we want to more 
    clearly characterize the performance of this location during the peak hour, 
    we ought to evaluate its performance during all of the 256 peak hours (7-8:00 AM 
    on a weekday) for which we have data. This isn’t a reasonable thought from a 
    practical standpoint, but it gives us a way to make an important point. [
    Back ] [ Continue ] 
    with 
    Sub-problem 1b |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1b: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    The question we’re 
    trying to answer is this: What is the performance of this facility like 
    during a reasonably heavy AM peak hour (some might refer to this as the 
    design hour)? To answer the question, we constructed a 
    spreadsheet that implements the HCM methodology shown in Equations (1)-(4) 
    in a single row of a spreadsheet. The 
    spreadsheet contains a column for each of the following data items: day of 
    the year, day of the week, hour, eastbound volume, eastbound PHF, 
    percent trucks, percent recreational vehicles, heavy vehicle factor, driver 
    population factor, peak 15-minute flow rate (vp), 
    passenger car speed, and density. Subordinate tables contain the lane width, 
    the right-hand shoulder clearance, and the number of lanes.   
    Three of these 
    data items are derived from the monitoring station data: V, the 
    volume for the hour; PHF, the peak hour factor (since these can be 
    computed from the underlying 15-minute data), and S the passenger car 
    speed for the peak 15-minute time period. PT is set to 5%,
    PR is set to 0%, and fp is set to 1.0 
      
      
        
          | Exhibit 4-13. Peak Hour LOS Distribution |  
          | LOS | Max D | # Hours | Percent |  
          | A | 11 | 7 | 2.7% |  
          | B | 18 | 7 | 2.7% |  
          | C | 26 | 17 | 6.6% |  
          | D | 35 | 208 | 81.3% |  
          | E | 45 | 13 | 5.1% |  
          | F | - | 4 | 1.6% |  
    Our findings are shown 
    in Exhibit 4-13 and Exhibit 4-14. For 208 of the 256 AM peak hours, or about 81.3%, 
    the LOS is D. That’s significant news. The predominant LOS is clearly D. For 
    5.1% of the peak hours it is E, for 1.6% it is F and for 6.6% it is C. (The 
    remaining 5.4% of the time it is A or B, probably on weekdays that are 
    holidays.) This seems consistent with field observations. 
    The implications of 
    Exhibit 4-13 are clear in terms of characterizing the performance of the 
    facility. You can be comfortable describing its average condition as D. You 
    could say that most of the time the LOS is D, in some heavily-traveled hours (6.7% 
    of the time or about once every two weeks) the LOS is E or F, and the 
    rest of the time it is A, B, or C. Chances are, your audience will 
    understand that. Certainly, your fellow traffic engineers will. |  
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    1c |  
    
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      |  |  
      | Exhibit 4-14. 
      Distribution of AM Eastbound Peak 15-Minute 
      Density 
             |      
    
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    | Sub-problem 1c: Analysis of 
    the Westbound Freeway Section Step 1.
    Setup We will now consider the conditions found along the westbound section, similar to sub-problem 1a. Before we begin, think about why 
    conditions on the westbound section would be different than those on the 
    eastbound section? Consider roadway users, physical conditions, and heavy 
    vehicle needs. Discussion:
  Take 
    a few minutes to consider the question above. [ Back 
    ] [ Continue ] with Sub-Problem 1c |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1c: Westbound 
    Peak Hour 
    The first task is to 
    specify the conditions. The question again emerges: where should we do the 
    analysis? Should we use the 6-7% upgrade, the 1-2% upgrade, or the 1-2% 
    downgrade? The HCM says: use the section that will produce the most 
    conservative estimate of the LOS. That is, worst case governs. So we’ll use 
    the 6-7% upgrade section. In addition, since it is a mile long or more, 
    we’ll assume it’s a constant grade, not a “rolling” or “mountainous” 
    section. 
    For the other inputs, 
    we’ll have the following values: 3 lanes, 3,240 veh/hr (the average PM peak 
    hour volume), 55 mph as the free flow speed,  0.90 as the peak hour factor, 
    5% trucks/buses, and “local” drivers, i.e., ones that are familiar with the 
    facility.  
    The results are as 
    follows. A flow rate of 1,440 pcplph, a density of 26 pcplpm, a LOS of D, 
    and an average passenger-car speed of 55 mph (see
    Dataset 5).  
    With this kind of 
    output, we should see if two lanes would be enough. If we change the number 
    of lanes to two, the flow rate becomes 2,160 pcplph, the density is 42 pcplpm, the LOS is E, and the average passenger car speed is 52 mph. The third lane has a huge impact on the results 
    (see 
    Dataset 6). 
    Let’s look at the 
    issue about whether the truck-climbing lane is needed. 
    While this specific issue is not addressed in the HCM methodology for basic 
    freeway sections, we can analyze this by looking at the LOS for the section 
    without the presence of the truck-climbing lane and comparing that to the 
    LOS calculated if all trucks are removed from the passenger car travel 
    lanes.  
    First, let's look at the truck-climbing lane. We effectively have 5% trucks, or 162 
    trucks per hour, in the peak hour volume. If the ET is 5, as HCM 
    Exhibit 23-9 suggests, the equivalent flow in passenger cars per hour 
    is 810 passenger cars per hour. That illustrates the impact of the trucks. 
    That’s almost a half lane’s worth of capacity.  [
    Back ] [ Continue 
    ] with Sub-Problem 1c |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1c: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    You can compute the 
    LOS by hand, but most software packages won’t let you do a single lane 
    analysis directly. So you need to do a work-around. To begin, you can assume a volume 
    of 1,620 passenger cars per hour and a two-lane facility. That yields a LOS 
    of B and a density of 16.4 pcpmpl. So the truck climbing lane, if it’s used 
    just by the trucks, operates adequately (see
    Dataset 7). 
    Next we need to check 
    the remaining two lanes to see how they would operate if no trucks were 
    present. The cars are 95% of the traffic stream, which means 
    a volume of 3,080 veh/hour. On two lanes, with 0% trucks, that yields a per 
    lane flow rate of 1,711 pcphpl, a density of 31.1 pcpmpl, and a LOS 
    of D. The average passenger car speed is 55 mph (see
    Dataset 8).  
    Now let's consider the results 
    of this hypothetical scenario. If we assume all three lanes are used by all the traffic, we 
    get a density of 26.2 pcpmpl. If we separate the trucks into the truck 
    climbing lane, we get 16.4 pcpmpl for the truck climbing lane and 31.1 
    pcpmpl for the remaining two auto-only lanes. These results suggest that trying to 
    enforce exclusive use by trucks of the truck-climbing lane wouldn’t be a 
    good idea. [
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    ] with Sub-Problem 1c |  
    
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    | Sub-problem 1c: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    Next, we should 
    examine the impacts that result from varying other variables. If we increase 
    the truck percentage to 10%, two things happen (see
    Dataset 9): 
      |  | 
    First, the ET 
    for the trucks drops from 5 to 3.5. That’s because the trucks have less 
    impact if they are a higher percentage of the traffic stream, up to a point. 
    At first glance this may seem counter-intuitive, but upon reflection you can 
    see that it reasonably reflects conditions we all see quite regularly in the 
    field: as the percentage of trucks in the traffic stream becomes greater, 
    the trucks themselves begin to fill in the gaps that other trucks create, 
    and so their individual impact (in terms of the equivalent number of 
    passenger cars each truck represents) actually goes down. At the same time, 
    the cumulative effect of the trucks will continue to rise because of the 
    higher percentage of trucks in the traffic stream. This is also quite 
    reasonable and reflective of conditions seen regularly in the field. |  |  | 
    Second, 
    density increases, from 26.2 pcpmpl to 27.3 pcpmpl. 
    The countervailing trend in the value of ET is keeping 
    this growth in the truck percentage from having a more significant impact.  |  
    The fact that these 
    two trends offset one another is a very important thing to notice. 
    To complete the 
    sensitivity analyses, let’s look at the impacts from varying the driver 
    familiarity adjustment factor. Let’s try using 0.85 instead of 1.0, assuming 
    that the analysis is being done in the summer when a higher percentage of 
    the drivers are vacationers. The flow rate becomes 1,695 pcphpl, the density 
    becomes 30.8 pcpmpl, the LOS is D, and the average passenger car speed is 55 
    mph. This is a 17.6% increase over the value we found for the initial 
    conditions we studied. So there is 
    an impact on operations, even though the LOS is 
    still D (see
    Dataset 10). [
    Back ] [ Continue 
    ] with Sub-Problem 1c |  
    
    Page Break
  
    | Sub-problem 1c: Analysis of 
    the Eastbound Freeway Section 
    We can close out this 
    analysis by looking at the performance of this facility across the entire 
    year. As was the case for the eastbound analysis, we have data for 256 hours 
    during 2001. The histogram, in Exhibit 4-15, shows that the predominant LOS is 
    C, with some evidence of D, E, A, and B. It’s clear that you can describe 
    the LOS of this westbound section as being predominantly C under the 
    conditions we assumed: 5% trucks/buses, 0% recreational vehicles, and 0% 
    daily users. If one or more of these assumptions change, the situation could be 
    different. 
    To explore how 
    different it might be, we changed just one variable, the assumption about 
    daily users. We did this because during the spring, summer, and fall 
    months many of the users on Friday afternoons are vacationers. If we 
    change this assumption, the value of fP can range as low 
    as 0.85. The results of this analysis are presented below in Exhibit 4-16. 
      
      
        
          | Exhibit 4-16. Driver Familiarity Adjustment |  
          | LOS | MaxD | Reg Drive | Vacation |  
          | NHr | Pct | NHr | Pct |  
          | A | 11 | 8 | 3.1% | 7 | 2.7% |  
          | B | 18 | 7 | 2.7% | 2 | 0.8% |  
          | C | 26 | 195 | 76.2% | 20 | 7.8% |  
          | D | 35 | 37 | 14.5% | 210 | 82.0% |  
          | E | 45 | 4 | 1.6% | 11 | 4.3% |  
          | F | >45 | 5 | 2.0% | 6 | 2.3% |  
    The percentage of 
    hours at LOS F doesn’t change that much, from 2.0% to 2.3%, but the 
    predominant LOS changes substantially, from C to D. Now 82% of the time, the 
    LOS is D while only 7.8% of the time it is C.  
    Neither one of the 
    situations, either “Regular Drivers” or “Vacation” drivers exactly describes 
    peak hour situation. The truth is somewhere  between. However, what we can 
    say is that the LOS is typically either C or D. Moreover, it’s C-like during 
     
    normal peak hours when the regular drivers predominate, and it’s D-like 
    when the vacation drivers are present.  [
    Back ] [
    Continue ] to Problem 2  |  |